Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.554586 0.618376 0.687407 0.767805 0.859045 0.959575 1.079008
2025-03-16 0.447880 0.533431 0.633184 0.758683 0.913180 1.098208 1.338155
2025-03-23 0.396713 0.492719 0.610146 0.765489 0.967290 1.222886 1.574810
2025-03-30 0.351799 0.451886 0.579120 0.754476 0.992609 1.308653 1.766433
2025-04-06 0.318640 0.421185 0.555916 0.748292 1.019834 1.395346 1.964373
2025-04-13 0.282980 0.383093 0.518314 0.717241 1.007419 1.423122 2.078192
2025-04-20 0.265521 0.367902 0.509964 0.725176 1.049499 1.530769 2.319644
2025-04-27 0.250939 0.355203 0.503519 0.734417 1.093137 1.643425 2.579905
2025-05-04 0.237763 0.343248 0.496792 0.741976 1.133925 1.754336 2.848558
2025-05-11 0.224605 0.330154 0.487075 0.743596 1.164702 1.851120 3.103280
2025-05-18 0.214539 0.320878 0.482231 0.752066 1.206653 1.969316 3.407794
2025-05-25 0.199550 0.302885 0.462420 0.734455 1.203063 2.009082 3.574186
2025-06-01 0.191970 0.296300 0.460593 0.747058 1.253349 2.149721 3.950428
2025-06-08 0.180778 0.283189 0.447312 0.739225 1.267143 2.226471 4.214055
2025-06-15 0.173404 0.275734 0.442670 0.745654 1.306640 2.353770 4.593844
2025-06-22 0.163542 0.263478 0.429064 0.734995 1.313345 2.418939 4.852872
2025-06-29 0.155325 0.253460 0.418561 0.728987 1.328026 2.500631 5.157202
2025-07-06 0.143771 0.237037 0.395891 0.698841 1.293323 2.479779 5.231931
2025-07-13 0.139146 0.232363 0.393585 0.706546 1.333688 2.616251 5.681667
2025-07-20 0.135018 0.228298 0.392057 0.715517 1.377231 2.763609 6.177514
2025-07-27 0.130913 0.224014 0.389821 0.722855 1.417920 2.908833 6.689069
2025-08-03 0.126267 0.218472 0.384892 0.724428 1.446491 3.030067 7.158286
2025-08-10 0.122792 0.214873 0.383353 0.732651 1.489968 3.189434 7.749756